VCF renewals ▲ 31.4% YoY· Symantec EDR true ups ▲ 18%· Carbon Black avg quote uplift +22%· Mainframe MIPS capacity squeezes ▲· Audit notices ▲ 47% QoQ· Our last 10 deals avg −41% on quote· VCF renewals ▲ 31.4% YoY· Symantec EDR true ups ▲ 18%· Carbon Black avg quote uplift +22%· Mainframe MIPS capacity squeezes ▲· Audit notices ▲ 47% QoQ· Our last 10 deals avg −41% on quote
Wednesday · 27 May · MMXXVIIssue II
Independent · Buyer SideLive
Broadcom Negotiations
VMware · Symantec · CA · Carbon Black · Mainframe · Brocade The buyer's report on Broadcom contract economics. Not affiliated with Broadcom Inc.
VMware

How a regional utility cut a VCF five year commit by 38 percent by restructuring the term.

A North American regional utility entered its 60 month VCF renewal with a $146M quote on the table. The team closed at $90.5M without changing the footprint, without a migration threat, and without removing a single product line. The work was term structure.

The regional utility at the centre of this case operates roughly 13,400 production cores across a mixed estate of vSphere, Aria Operations at the medium telemetry tier, and a vSAN footprint sized to roughly 1.4 petabytes of consumed capacity. The estate had grown by 18 percent across the prior contract period and was being quoted into a 60 month renewal with a portfolio bundle that priced the addition of new Aria Automation scope on top of the existing Aria Operations line. The opening quote was $146M cumulative across the five year term, which would have set the per core all in cost at roughly $2,178 per year. The renewal closed at $90.5M, which set the per core all in cost at roughly $1,350 per year. The reduction was 38.0 percent of the cumulative TCV. None of the reduction came from migrating out, none from removing a product line, and none from a third party vendor on the table.

The case below describes the work in four sections. The quote, the find, the restructure, and the outcome. The work took 11 weeks of engagement from the Desk and a parallel six week effort from the utility's procurement and treasury functions. Neither the utility nor any individual on the seller side is named.

The quote

The opening quote arrived in October. It was constructed as a single five year commit on annual billing, with a stated escalator of 6 percent across the term, a co termination clause that bridged the prior Aria term forward by 11 months, a portfolio bundle that included the new Aria Automation scope at the bundle's published rate, and a support uplift line that ran 24 percent above the prior support rate. The quote was presented as a single negotiable number. The seller's commercial team indicated that the headline could move by 4 to 7 percent through ordinary discount mechanics, which would have placed a settled deal in the $135M to $140M range. The utility's procurement team had a target of $115M and a stretch target of $105M. The Desk's read was that the stretch target was achievable on the headline mechanics alone but that the cumulative TCV could move further by restructuring the term rather than discounting the rate.

The find

The work of the find took five weeks. The Desk and the utility's procurement team conducted four parallel inventory and entitlement passes. The vSphere CPU inventory pass reconciled the actual deployed CPU count against the entitlement on record, which produced a 4.3 percent overcount that the quote had not reflected. The Aria managed object pass found a telemetry surface that was 22 percent above the medium tier ceiling, which the seller had not yet noticed and which would have produced a tier upgrade demand in a later quarter if left unaddressed. The vSAN consumed capacity pass found 280 terabytes of consumed capacity attached to non production workloads that could be moved off the licensed footprint without operational impact. The Aria Automation scope pass found that the new scope the bundle was pricing for had a smaller production surface than the bundle's published assumption.

The four passes produced a corrected footprint that the utility could defend against the seller's published assumptions. The corrected footprint reduced the cores under licence by 4.3 percent, reduced the Aria telemetry surface to inside the medium tier ceiling, removed 280 terabytes of vSAN consumed capacity from the licensed scope, and reset the Aria Automation scope to the production reality. The corrected footprint also produced a treasury posture on prepayment that the utility's treasury function had not previously costed against the seller's likely discount band.

"The headline was never the work. The work was the term structure. Once the term structure moved, the headline moved with it, and the headline moved further than the seller had priced for."Engagement Lead, The Desk

The restructure

The restructure had four moves and the moves were negotiated in sequence rather than as a single package. The first move was the corrected footprint. The utility presented the four inventory passes to the seller's commercial team as a single corrected baseline. The seller resisted the Aria telemetry adjustment and the vSAN consumed capacity adjustment on a four week negotiation cycle. The utility held both adjustments by referencing the production telemetry data and the operational impact analysis on the vSAN side. The corrected baseline reduced the cumulative TCV by roughly $19M against the opening quote, which placed the headline at $127M.

The second move was the prepayment posture. The utility's treasury function had concluded across the prior week that a 60 month prepayment was accretive against the utility's cost of capital by roughly 4 percentage points. The procurement team surfaced the prepayment as a separate quoted line and asked the seller for the discount band against annual billing. The seller returned an 11.8 percent discount on the cumulative TCV in exchange for the prepayment. The procurement team accepted the prepayment, which reduced the cumulative TCV by roughly $15M against the corrected baseline and placed the headline at $112M.

The third move was the co termination clause. The Desk priced the bridged Aria time at the prior rate rather than the renewal rate, presented the rate differential as a separate line in the quote, and asked the seller to either price the bridge at the prior rate or remove the clause. The seller removed the clause and let the Aria line continue on its prior termination date. The removal reduced the cumulative TCV by roughly $6M and placed the headline at $106M.

The fourth move was the support uplift. The 24 percent uplift the quote had carried was reset to 6 percent by referencing the support uplift band the Desk had documented across the buyer side cohort on comparable five year commits. The reset reduced the cumulative TCV by roughly $5M and placed the headline at $101M. A final negotiated headline adjustment of roughly $10.5M, which the seller offered against the closing meeting in exchange for an early signature, placed the cumulative TCV at $90.5M.

Opening quote cumulative TCV$146M
Corrected footprint cumulative TCV$127M
Plus prepayment posture$112M
Plus co termination removal$106M
Plus support uplift reset$101M
Plus signature adjustment$90.5M
Cumulative reduction against opening quote38.0%

The outcome

The renewal signed at $90.5M cumulative across the 60 month term, prepaid at signature against a treasury swap that priced accretive at the utility's cost of capital. The footprint inside the contract matched the production reality across vSphere, Aria, vSAN, and Aria Automation. The co termination clause did not appear in the final contract. The support uplift was held to 6 percent. The escalator on the cumulative TCV was 0 percent because the contract was prepaid. The per core all in cost across the term was roughly $1,350 per year, against the opening per core all in cost of roughly $2,178 per year. The reduction on the per core basis was 38.0 percent, which mirrored the cumulative TCV reduction because the corrected footprint did not change the licensed core count materially. The utility's procurement team came in $15M below the stretch target and $25M below the target. The treasury function had a single capital outlay in the quarter of close that was within the budget envelope already approved by the board.

What we have seen on live deals this quarter

The utility's outcome is not the cohort median. The Desk's cohort median on comparable five year VCF commits where the buyer has the inventory posture, the treasury posture, and the willingness to refuse the co termination clause is a 28 to 34 percent reduction against the opening quote. The utility's outcome sits in the upper quartile and was achieved because all four moves were available to the buyer in the same renewal cycle. Buyers who can only execute two of the four typically clear the cohort median. Buyers who arrive without the inventory posture or without the treasury posture typically clear 12 to 18 percent against the opening quote, which is the band the seller's headline discount mechanics produce on their own.

The takeaway

  • A 38 percent cumulative reduction on a $146M VCF opening quote is reachable without a migration threat, without a vendor on the table, and without removing a product line. The work is term structure, not headline rate.
  • The four moves that produced the outcome were the corrected footprint, the prepayment posture, the co termination removal, and the support uplift reset. None of the four is unusual. The unusual thing is executing all four in the same renewal cycle.
  • Buyers who arrive with the inventory and treasury postures clear the cohort median of 28 to 34 percent. Buyers who arrive without those postures typically clear 12 to 18 percent on the seller's headline mechanics alone. The posture is the leverage.
Modelling a five year VCF commit and reading the term structure? Write to the Desk → Two analyst calls, no pitch.

Three related articles

Cross references. Service: Renewal Negotiation. Practice: VCF Renewal. Calculator: VCF core calculator.
Correspondence Invited

Write before the quote becomes a position.

Two analyst calls. No pitch. We tell you what we would do, what the leverage actually is, and whether we are the right firm. If we are not, we will say so.
Who we work for. Buyer side only. No reseller relationship with Broadcom. No partnership of any kind. We do not earn anything from products sold or renewed. Only from outcomes delivered against the contract.